See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Sep. 25, 2020, at 5:29 PM

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Who’s ahead in North Carolina?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 5, 2018

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-13NC-13
Nov 2-4, 2018
567 LV
Nov 2-4, 2018
567LVManning
43%
Tie

Manning

43%

Budd

43%

Bailey

2%

Corriher

1%
MoreEven

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 15, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-13NC-13
Oct 9-12, 2018
533 LV
Oct 9-12, 2018
533LVManning
41%

Manning

41%

Budd

44%

Bailey

1%

Corriher

1%
MoreBudd+3

Oct. 5, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-13NC-13
Oct 3-8, 2018
500 RV
Oct 3-8, 2018
500RVManning
38%

Manning

38%

Budd

42%
42%
BuddBudd+4
U.S. House
NC-13NC-13
Oct 3-8, 2018
500 LV
Oct 3-8, 2018
500LVManning
41%

Manning

41%

Budd

47%
47%
BuddBudd+6

Sept. 20, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-13NC-13
Sep 13, 2018
537 LV
Sep 13, 2018
537LVManning
46%

Manning

46%

Budd

42%
42%
BuddManning+4

July 18, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-13NC-13
Jul 12-16, 2018
537 LV
Jul 12-16, 2018
537LVManning
35%

Manning

35%

Budd

40%

Bailey

3%

Corriher

3%
MoreBudd+5
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