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Who’s ahead in the North Carolina 9th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 28, 2020

U.S. House, NC-9, 2020

750V
Oct.28-29
750V
Wallace
43%
Wallace
43%

Wallace

43%

Bishop

45%
45%
Bishop  Bishop+2

Oct. 1, 2020

U.S. House, NC-9, 2020

400LV
Sep.30-Oct.2
400LV
Wallace
34%
Wallace
34%

Wallace

34%

Bishop

30%
30%
Bishop  Wallace+4

Sept. 5, 2019

U.S. House, NC-9, 2019

1,175LV
Sep.5-6
1,175LV
McCready
48%
McCready
48%

McCready

48%

Bishop

45%
45%
Bishop  McCready+3
1,175LV
Sep.5-6
1,175LV
McCready
44%
McCready
44%

McCready

44%

Bishop

44%

Scott

3%

Smith

2%
44%
BishopEven

Aug. 27, 2019

U.S. House, NC-9, 2019

500LV
Aug.26-28
500LV
McCready
45%
McCready
45%

McCready

45%

Bishop

46%

Scott

2%

Smith

1%
46%
BishopBishop+1
551LV
Aug.26-28
551LV
McCready
51%
McCready
51%

McCready

51%

Bishop

46%
46%
Bishop  McCready+5
551LV
Aug.26-28
551LV
McCready
49%
McCready
49%

McCready

49%

Bishop

44%

Scott

3%

Smith

1%
44%
BishopMcCready+5

July 17, 2019

U.S. House, NC-9, 2019

450LV
Jul.15-18
450LV
McCready
46%
McCready
46%

McCready

46%

Bishop

46%
46%
Bishop  Even
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