UPDATED Jan. 20, 2021, at 11:43 AM

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Who’s ahead in North Carolina’s 9th District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 29, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-9NC-9
Oct 28-29, 2020
750 V
Oct 28-29, 2020
750VWallace
43%

Wallace

43%

Bishop

45%
45%
BishopBishop+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 6, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-9NC-9
Sep 30-Oct 2, 2020
400 LV
Sep 30-Oct 2, 2020
400LVWallace
34%

Wallace

34%

Bishop

30%
30%
BishopWallace+4

Sept. 7, 2019

U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-9NC-9
Sep 5-6, 2019
1,175 LV
Sep 5-6, 2019
1,175LVMcCready
48%

McCready

48%

Bishop

45%
45%
BishopMcCready+3
U.S. House
NC-9NC-9
Sep 5-6, 2019
1,175 LV
Sep 5-6, 2019
1,175LVMcCready
44%
Tie

McCready

44%

Bishop

44%

Scott

3%

Smith

2%
MoreEven

Sept. 3, 2019

U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-9NC-9
Aug 26-28, 2019
500 LV
Aug 26-28, 2019
500LVMcCready
45%

McCready

45%

Bishop

46%

Scott

2%

Smith

1%
MoreBishop+1

Aug. 30, 2019

U.S. House
U.S. House
NC-9NC-9
Aug 26-28, 2019
551 LV
Aug 26-28, 2019
551LVMcCready
51%

McCready

51%

Bishop

46%
46%
BishopMcCready+5
U.S. House
NC-9NC-9
Aug 26-28, 2019
551 LV
Aug 26-28, 2019
551LVMcCready
49%

McCready

49%

Bishop

44%

Scott

3%

Smith

1%
MoreMcCready+5
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