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Who’s ahead in the North Dakota House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 20, 2022

U.S. House, ND-1, 2022

400LV
Sep.19-21
400LV
Mund
40%
Mund
40%

Mund

40%

Armstrong

44%
44%
Armstrong  Armstrong+4

Sept. 18, 2022

U.S. House, ND-1, 2022

402LV
Sep.16-19
402LV
Mund
30%
Mund
30%

Mund

30%

Armstrong

52%
52%
Armstrong  Armstrong+22

Sept. 11, 2022

U.S. House, ND-1, 2022

518LV
Sep.10-12
518LV
Mund
31%
Mund
31%

Mund

31%

Armstrong

48%
48%
Armstrong  Armstrong+17

Aug. 27, 2022

U.S. House, ND-1, 2022

403LV
Aug.18-28
403LV
Mund
20%
Mund
20%

Mund

20%

Armstrong

49%

Haugen

13%
49%
ArmstrongArmstrong+30

Oct. 29, 2018

U.S. House, ND-1, 2018

851RV
Oct.27-30
851RV
Schneider
32%
Schneider
32%

Schneider

32%

Armstrong

52%
52%
Armstrong  Armstrong+20
789LV
Oct.27-30
789LV
Schneider
33%
Schneider
33%

Schneider

33%

Armstrong

55%
55%
Armstrong  Armstrong+22
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