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Who’s ahead in the Oregon 5th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 7, 2022

U.S. House, OR-5, 2022

400LV
Sep.1-8
400LV
McLeod-Skinner
41%
McLeod-Skinner
41%

McLeod-Skinner

41%

Chavez-DeRemer

38%
38%
Chavez-DeRemer  McLeod-Skinner+3

Aug. 17, 2022

U.S. House, OR-5, 2022

410LV
Aug.15-18
410LV
McLeod-Skinner
34%
McLeod-Skinner
34%

McLeod-Skinner

34%

Chavez-DeRemer

44%
44%
Chavez-DeRemer  Chavez-DeRemer+10

June 1, 2022

U.S. House, OR-5, 2022

572V
Jun.1-2
572V
McLeod-Skinner
41%
McLeod-Skinner
41%

McLeod-Skinner

41%

Chavez-DeRemer

42%
42%
Chavez-DeRemer  Chavez-DeRemer+1

Oct. 7, 2018

U.S. House, OR-5, 2018

359LV
Oct.8
359LV
Schrader
33%
Schrader
33%

Schrader

33%

Callahan

56%
56%
Callahan  Callahan+23
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Candidate is an incumbent

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