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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 30, 2022

Oct. 19, 2022

U.S. House, PA-8, 2022

415LV
Oct.19-20
415LV
Cartwright
50%
Cartwright
50%

Cartwright

50%

Bognet

44%
44%
Bognet  Cartwright+6

Oct. 13, 2022

U.S. House, PA-7, 2022

404LV
Oct.12-14
404LV
Wild
47%
Wild
47%

Wild

47%

Scheller

46%
46%
Scheller  Wild+1

Oct. 8, 2022

U.S. House, PA-8, 2022

289RV
Oct.7-9
289RV
Cartwright
40%
Cartwright
40%

Cartwright

40%

Bognet

43%
43%
Bognet  Bognet+3

Sept. 19, 2022

U.S. House, PA-17, 2022

400LV
Sep.18-20
400LV
Deluzio
49%
Deluzio
49%

Deluzio

49%

Shaffer

43%
43%
Shaffer  Deluzio+6
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Campaign poll

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