See who’s ahead in the 2021 Virginia governor’s race

UPDATED Sep. 21, 2021, at 10:34 AM

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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania’s 1st District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 12, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
PA-1PA-1
Oct 6-7, 2020
569 V
Oct 6-7, 2020
569VFinello
47%

Finello

47%

Fitzpatrick

46%
46%
FitzpatrickFinello+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 6, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
PA-1PA-1
Oct 1-4, 2020
400 LV
Oct 1-4, 2020
400LVFinello
45%

Finello

45%

Fitzpatrick

47%
47%
FitzpatrickFitzpatrick+2

Sept. 20, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
PA-1PA-1
Sep 14-16, 2020
400 LV
Sep 14-16, 2020
400LVFinello
36%

Finello

36%

Fitzpatrick

52%
52%
FitzpatrickFitzpatrick+16

Aug. 19, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
PA-1PA-1
Aug 16-18, 2020
384 LV
Aug 16-18, 2020
384LVFinello
35%

Finello

35%

Fitzpatrick

47%
47%
FitzpatrickFitzpatrick+12

July 20, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
PA-1PA-1
Jul 13-15, 2020
400 LV
Jul 13-15, 2020
400LVFinello
35%

Finello

35%

Fitzpatrick

50%

Scheetz

5%
MoreFitzpatrick+15
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