UPDATED Jan. 18, 2021, at 2:57 PM

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Who’s ahead in Texas’s 10th District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 13, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-10TX-10
Oct 8-11, 2020
400 LV
Oct 8-11, 2020
400LVSiegel
45%

Siegel

45%

McCaul

47%
47%
McCaulMcCaul+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 2, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-10TX-10
Sep 21-24, 2020
400 LV
Sep 21-24, 2020
400LVSiegel
43%

Siegel

43%

McCaul

45%

Eriksen

6%
MoreMcCaul+2

Aug. 12, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-10TX-10
Jul 28-Aug 3, 2020
500 RV
Jul 28-Aug 3, 2020
500RVSiegel
39%

Siegel

39%

McCaul

46%
46%
McCaulMcCaul+7

Dec. 10, 2019

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-10TX-10
Nov 6-7, 2019
848 LV
Nov 6-7, 2019
848LVHutcheson
41%

Hutcheson

41%

McCaul

50%
50%
McCaulMcCaul+9

Sept. 27, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-10TX-10
Jul 31-Aug 4, 2018
524 RV
Jul 31-Aug 4, 2018
524RVSiegel
36%

Siegel

36%

McCaul

39%
39%
McCaulMcCaul+3

No matching polls

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