UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 1:20 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Texas 21st District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 11, 2020

U.S. House, TX-21, 2020

412LV
Oct.11-12
412LV
Davis
42%
Davis
42%

Davis

42%

Roy

47%
47%
Roy  Roy+5

Sept. 3, 2020

U.S. House, TX-21, 2020

401LV
Aug.31-Sep.4
401LV
Davis
48%
Davis
48%

Davis

48%

Roy

47%
47%
Roy  Davis+1

Aug. 19, 2020

U.S. House, TX-21, 2020

500LV
Aug.15-20
500LV
Davis
46%
Davis
46%

Davis

46%

Roy

46%
46%
Roy  Even

July 16, 2020

U.S. House, TX-21, 2020

550LV
Jul.14-17
550LV
Davis
45%
Davis
45%

Davis

45%

Roy

46%
46%
Roy  Roy+1

Oct. 19, 2018

U.S. House, TX-21, 2018

401LV
Oct.17-20
401LV
Kopser
38%
Kopser
38%

Kopser

38%

Roy

50%

Santos

2%
50%
RoyRoy+12
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Candidate is an incumbent

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