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UPDATED Dec. 2, 2020, at 8:46 PM

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Who’s ahead in Texas’s 21st District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 27, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-21TX-21
Oct 11-12, 2020
412 LV
Oct 11-12, 2020
412LVDavis
42%

Davis

42%

Roy

47%
47%
RoyRoy+5

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 8, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-21TX-21
Aug 31-Sep 4, 2020
401 LV
Aug 31-Sep 4, 2020
401LVDavis
48%

Davis

48%

Roy

47%
47%
RoyDavis+1

Aug. 26, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-21TX-21
Aug 15-20, 2020
500 LV
Aug 15-20, 2020
500LVDavis
46%

Davis

46%

Roy

46%
46%
RoyEven

July 23, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-21TX-21
Jul 14-17, 2020
550 LV
Jul 14-17, 2020
550LVDavis
45%

Davis

45%

Roy

46%
46%
RoyRoy+1

Oct. 23, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-21TX-21
Oct 17-20, 2018
401 LV
Oct 17-20, 2018
401LVKopser
38%

Kopser

38%

Roy

50%

Santos

2%
MoreRoy+12
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