UPDATED Sep. 28, 2022, at 2:05 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Texas 24th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, TX-24, 2020

400LV
Jul.31-Aug.2
400LV
Valenzuela
48%
Valenzuela
48%

Valenzuela

48%

Van Duyne

41%
41%
Van Duyne  Valenzuela+7
500RV
Jul.27-Aug.2
500RV
Valenzuela
36%
Valenzuela
36%

Valenzuela

36%

Van Duyne

36%
36%
Van Duyne  Even
400LV
Jun.11-15
400LV
Valenzuela
45%
Valenzuela
45%

Valenzuela

45%

Van Duyne

39%
39%
Van Duyne  Valenzuela+6
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Candidate is an incumbent

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