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Who’s ahead in the Texas 31st District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Aug. 26, 2020

U.S. House, TX-31, 2020

831V
Aug.26-27
831V
Imam
37%
Imam
37%

Imam

37%

Carter

43%

Patterson

7%

Bravo

3%
43%
CarterCarter+6

Oct. 4, 2018

U.S. House, TX-31, 2018

490RV
Oct.1-5
490RV
Hegar
35%
Hegar
35%

Hegar

35%

Carter

51%
51%
Carter  Carter+16
490LV
Oct.1-5
490LV
Hegar
38%
Hegar
38%

Hegar

38%

Carter

53%
53%
Carter  Carter+15

Sept. 24, 2018

U.S. House, TX-31, 2018

400LV
Sep.22-25
400LV
Hegar
33%
Hegar
33%

Hegar

33%

Carter

54%
54%
Carter  Carter+21

Sept. 19, 2018

U.S. House, TX-31, 2018

500LV
Sep.16-20
500LV
Hegar
42%
Hegar
42%

Hegar

42%

Carter

46%
46%
Carter  Carter+4

Nov. 28, 2017

U.S. House, TX-31, 2018

613V
Nov.28-29
613V
Hegar
40%
Hegar
40%

Hegar

40%

Carter

46%
46%
Carter  Carter+6
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