UPDATED Nov. 15, 2021, at 9:45 AM

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Who’s ahead in Utah’s 4th District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 18, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
UT-4 UT-4
Oct 12-17, 2020
800 LV
Oct 12-17, 2020
800LVMcAdams
45%

McAdams

45%

Owens

46%

Molnar

3%

Broderick

1%
MoreOwens+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 15, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
UT-4 UT-4
Aug 31-Sep 12, 2020
498 RV
Aug 31-Sep 12, 2020
498RVMcAdams
47%

McAdams

47%

Owens

37%

Molnar

2%

Broderick

0%
MoreMcAdams+11

Sept. 13, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
UT-4 UT-4
Sep 7-12, 2020
800 LV
Sep 7-12, 2020
800LVMcAdams
45%

McAdams

45%

Owens

41%

Molnar

2%

Broderick

1%
MoreMcAdams+4

Aug. 2, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
UT-4 UT-4
Jul 27-Aug 1, 2020
800 RV
Jul 27-Aug 1, 2020
800RVMcAdams
35%
Tie

McAdams

35%

Owens

35%

Molnar

4%

Broderick

2%
MoreEven

July 16, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
UT-4 UT-4
Jul 8-11, 2020
400 LV
Jul 8-11, 2020
400LVMcAdams
34%

McAdams

34%

Owens

43%

Molnar

5%

Broderick

0%
MoreOwens+9
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