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Who’s ahead in the Virginia 2 House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending April 14, 2022

U.S. House, VA-2, 2022

600RV
Apr.10-15
600RV
Luria
39%
Luria
39%

Luria

39%

Kiggans

34%
34%
Kiggans  Luria+5
600RV
Apr.10-15
600RV
Luria
38%
Luria
38%

Luria

38%

Bell

33%
33%
Bell  Luria+5

Oct. 17, 2020

U.S. House, VA-2, 2020

807LV
Oct.8-18
807LV
Luria
50%
Luria
50%

Luria

50%

Taylor

43%
43%
Taylor  Luria+7

July 15, 2020

U.S. House, VA-2, 2020

402LV
Jul.14-16
402LV
Luria
48%
Luria
48%

Luria

48%

Taylor

48%
48%
Taylor  Even

Nov. 3, 2018

U.S. House, VA-2, 2018

710LV
Nov.2-4
710LV
Luria
47%
Luria
47%

Luria

47%

Taylor

47%
47%
Taylor  Even

Oct. 21, 2018

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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