See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Sep. 25, 2020, at 10:11 PM

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Who’s ahead in Virginia?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added July 20, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
VA-2VA-2
Jul 14-16, 2020
402 LV
Jul 14-16, 2020
402LVLuria
48%

Luria

48%

Taylor

48%
48%
TaylorEven

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 5, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
VA-2VA-2
Nov 2-4, 2018
710 LV
Nov 2-4, 2018
710LVLuria
47%

Luria

47%

Taylor

47%
47%
TaylorEven

Oct. 19, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
VA-2VA-2
Oct 18-22, 2018
508 RV
Oct 18-22, 2018
508RVLuria
45%

Luria

45%

Taylor

40%
40%
TaylorLuria+6
U.S. House
VA-2VA-2
Oct 18-22, 2018
508 LV
Oct 18-22, 2018
508LVLuria
42%

Luria

42%

Taylor

45%
45%
TaylorTaylor+3

Oct. 15, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
VA-2VA-2
Oct 3-12, 2018
682 LV
Oct 3-12, 2018
682LVLuria
44%

Luria

44%

Taylor

50%
50%
TaylorTaylor+6
U.S. House
VA-2VA-2
Oct 3-12, 2018
798 LV
Oct 3-12, 2018
798LVLuria
43%

Luria

43%

Taylor

50%
50%
TaylorTaylor+7

Oct. 2, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
VA-2VA-2
Sep 26-28, 2018
758 LV
Sep 26-28, 2018
758LVLuria
46%

Luria

46%

Taylor

46%
46%
TaylorTaylor+1
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