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Who’s ahead in the Virginia 7th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 1, 2022

U.S. House, VA-7, 2022

525LV
Oct.30-Nov.2
525LV
Spanberger
47%
Spanberger
47%

Spanberger

47%

Vega

47%
47%
Vega  Even

Aug. 5, 2022

U.S. House, VA-7, 2022

400LV
Jul.31-Aug.6
400LV
Spanberger
46%
Spanberger
46%

Spanberger

46%

Vega

41%
41%
Vega  Spanberger+5

Nov. 1, 2020

U.S. House, VA-7, 2020

505LV
Oct.31-Nov.2
505LV
Spanberger
52%
Spanberger
52%

Spanberger

52%

Freitas

41%
41%
Freitas  Spanberger+10

Nov. 3, 2018

U.S. House, VA-7, 2018

500RV
Oct.30-Nov.4
500RV
Spanberger
43%
Spanberger
43%

Spanberger

43%

Brat

41%
41%
Brat  Spanberger+2
500LV
Oct.30-Nov.4
500LV
Spanberger
44%
Spanberger
44%

Spanberger

44%

Brat

46%
46%
Brat  Brat+2

Oct. 26, 2018

U.S. House, VA-7, 2018

790LV
Oct.18-27
790LV
Spanberger
48%
Spanberger
48%

Spanberger

48%

Brat

45%

Walton

3%
45%
BratSpanberger+3
871LV
Oct.18-27
871LV
Spanberger
46%
Spanberger
46%

Spanberger

46%

Brat

45%

Walton

4%
45%
BratSpanberger+1
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