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Who’s ahead in the Washington 3rd District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 19, 2022

U.S. House, WA-3, 2022

834LV
Sep.19-20
834LV
Perez
44%
Perez
44%

Perez

44%

Kent

48%
48%
Kent  Kent+4

Aug. 29, 2022

U.S. House, WA-3, 2022

400LV
Aug.25-30
400LV
Perez
47%
Perez
47%

Perez

47%

Kent

45%
45%
Kent  Perez+2

Oct. 19, 2020

U.S. House, WA-3, 2020

425LV
Oct.19-20
425LV
Long
47%
Long
47%

Long

47%

Herrera Beutler

49%
49%
Herrera Beutler  Herrera Beutler+2

Sept. 25, 2020

U.S. House, WA-3, 2020

400LV
Sep.24-26
400LV
Long
47%
Long
47%

Long

47%

Herrera Beutler

49%
49%
Herrera Beutler  Herrera Beutler+2

Aug. 3, 2020

U.S. House, WA-3, 2020

500RV
Jul.29-Aug.4
500RV
Long
40%
Long
40%

Long

40%

Herrera Beutler

44%
44%
Herrera Beutler  Herrera Beutler+4
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