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Who’s ahead in the Washington 5th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, WA-5, 2018

521LV
Sep.16-20
521LV
Brown
46%
Brown
46%

Brown

46%

McMorris Rodgers

49%
49%
McMorris Rodgers  McMorris Rodgers+3
689V
Apr.16-17
689V
Brown
45%
Brown
45%

Brown

45%

McMorris Rodgers

48%
48%
McMorris Rodgers  McMorris Rodgers+3
403RV
Apr.4-7
403RV
Brown
38%
Brown
38%

Brown

38%

McMorris Rodgers

44%
44%
McMorris Rodgers  McMorris Rodgers+6
414LV
Feb.3
414LV
Brown
43%
Brown
43%

Brown

43%

McMorris Rodgers

47%
47%
McMorris Rodgers  McMorris Rodgers+4
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Campaign poll

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