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Who’s ahead in the Wisconsin House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Aug. 18, 2022

U.S. House, WI-3, 2022

626LV
Aug.18-19
626LV
Pfaff
40%
Pfaff
40%

Pfaff

40%

Van Orden

45%
45%
Van Orden  Van Orden+5

Aug. 17, 2022

U.S. House, WI-3, 2022

403LV
Aug.15-18
403LV
Pfaff
38%
Pfaff
38%

Pfaff

38%

Van Orden

50%
50%
Van Orden  Van Orden+13

June 1, 2022

U.S. House, WI-3, 2022

602V
Jun.1-2
602V
McGrath
38%
McGrath
38%

McGrath

38%

Van Orden

47%
47%
Van Orden  Van Orden+9

July 7, 2020

U.S. House, WI-1, 2020

1,007V
Jul.7-8
1,007V
Polack
39%
Polack
39%

Polack

39%

Steil

49%
49%
Steil  Steil+10

July 10, 2019

U.S. House, WI-3, 2020

400LV
Jul.7-11
400LV
Kind
43%
Kind
43%

Kind

43%

Testin

45%
45%
Testin  Testin+2
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