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Who’s ahead in the Illinois ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 2, 2024

U.S. House, IL-17, 2024, General election

Nov. 1-3
753LV
Nov. 1-3
753LV
Sorensen
52%
Sorensen
52%

Sorensen

52%

McGraw

47%
47%
McGraw  Sorensen+6

Oct. 27, 2024

President: general election, Illinois, 2024

Oct. 4-28
400LV
Oct. 4-28
400LV
Harris
58%
Harris
58%

Harris

58%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Harris+17

Oct. 4, 2024

President: general election, Illinois, 2024

Sept. 3-Oct. 5
400LV
Sept. 3-Oct. 5
400LV
Harris
59%
Harris
59%

Harris

59%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Harris+18

Aug. 28, 2024

President: general election, Illinois, 2024

Aug. 6-29
400LV
Aug. 6-29
400LV
Harris
58%
Harris
58%

Harris

58%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Harris+16

July 2, 2024

U.S. House, IL-11, 2024, General election

July 2-3
309LV
July 2-3
309LV
Foster
41%
Foster
41%

Foster

41%

Evans

34%
34%
Evans  Foster+7
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Candidate is an incumbent

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