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Who’s ahead in the Iowa ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 2, 2024

President: general election, Iowa, 2024

Nov. 2-3, 2024
435LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
435LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+8
Nov. 2-3, 2024
501RV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
501RV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+7
Nov. 2-3, 2024
800LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
800LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+7

Nov. 1, 2024

President: general election, Iowa, 2024

Nov. 1-2, 2024
800LV
Nov. 1-2, 2024
800LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

54%
54%
Trump  Trump+9

Oct. 30, 2024

President: general election, Iowa, 2024

Oct. 28-31, 2024
808LV
Oct. 28-31, 2024
808LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

3%

Oliver

0%
44%
TrumpHarris+3

Sept. 30, 2024

U.S. House, IA-1, 2024, General election

Sept. 30-Oct. 1, 2024
625LV
Sept. 30-Oct. 1, 2024
625LV
Bohannan
50%
Bohannan
50%

Bohannan

50%

Miller-Meeks

46%
46%
Miller-Meeks  Bohannan+4

Sept. 27, 2024

President: general election, Iowa, 2024

Sept. 27-28, 2024
600LV
Sept. 27-28, 2024
600LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+7
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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