See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 28, 2020, at 2:14 PM

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Who’s ahead in Kentucky?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Ky.
Ky.
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
3,478 LV
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
3,478LVBiden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

56%
56%
TrumpTrump+14
President: general election Ky.
Ky.
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
3,478 RV
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
3,478RVBiden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

56%
56%
TrumpTrump+14

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 22, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Oct 19-20, 2020
640 LV
Oct 19-20, 2020
640LVMcGrath
40%

McGrath

40%

McConnell

50%

Barron

5%
MoreMcConnell+10

Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Oct 12-15, 2020
625 LV
Oct 12-15, 2020
625LVMcGrath
42%

McGrath

42%

McConnell

51%

Barron

4%
MoreMcConnell+9

Oct. 20, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Ky.
Ky.
Oct 12-15, 2020
625 LV
Oct 12-15, 2020
625LVBiden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

56%
56%
TrumpTrump+17

Oct. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Ky.
Ky.
Aug 1-31, 2020
1,231 RV
Aug 1-31, 2020
1,231RVBiden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

59%
59%
TrumpTrump+21
President: general election Ky.
Ky.
Aug 1-31, 2020
1,231 LV
Aug 1-31, 2020
1,231LVBiden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

60%
60%
TrumpTrump+22
President: general election Ky.
Ky.
Jul 1-31, 2020
1,709 RV
Jul 1-31, 2020
1,709RVBiden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

62%
62%
TrumpTrump+26
President: general election Ky.
Ky.
Jul 1-31, 2020
1,709 LV
Jul 1-31, 2020
1,709LVBiden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

62%
62%
TrumpTrump+25
President: general election Ky.
Ky.
Jun 8-30, 2020
596 RV
Jun 8-30, 2020
596RVBiden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

59%
59%
TrumpTrump+20
President: general election Ky.
Ky.
Jun 8-30, 2020
596 LV
Jun 8-30, 2020
596LVBiden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

60%
60%
TrumpTrump+22
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