UPDATED Sep. 16, 2021, at 9:55 AM

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Who’s ahead in Kentucky?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 3, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Ky.
Ky.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,009 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,009LVBiden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

59%
59%
TrumpTrump+19
President: general election Ky.
Ky.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,009 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,009RVBiden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

58%
58%
TrumpTrump+18

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Ky.
Ky.
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
383 LV
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
383LVBiden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

55%

Jorgensen

4%
MoreTrump+14
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
365 LV
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
365LVMcGrath
46%

McGrath

46%

McConnell

49%

Barron

5%
MoreMcConnell+3
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Oct 22-31, 2020
911 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
911LVMcGrath
40%

McGrath

40%

McConnell

51%
51%
McConnellMcConnell+11

Oct. 28, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Ky.
Ky.
Oct 16-28, 2020
250 RV
Oct 16-28, 2020
250RVBiden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

52%
52%
TrumpTrump+13
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Oct 16-28, 2020
250 RV
Oct 16-28, 2020
250RVMcGrath
40%

McGrath

40%

McConnell

50%
50%
McConnellMcConnell+10

Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Oct 19-20, 2020
640 LV
Oct 19-20, 2020
640LVMcGrath
40%

McGrath

40%

McConnell

50%

Barron

5%
MoreMcConnell+10

Oct. 20, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Oct 12-15, 2020
625 LV
Oct 12-15, 2020
625LVMcGrath
42%

McGrath

42%

McConnell

51%

Barron

4%
MoreMcConnell+9
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