UPDATED Nov. 15, 2021, at 9:45 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Maine?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Sept. 8, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Maine Maine
Aug 24-31, 2021
1,242 RV
Aug 24-31, 2021
1,242RVMills
46%

Mills

46%

LePage

41%
41%
LePageMills+5

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

June 1, 2021

Governor
Governor
Maine Maine
May 13-19, 2021
514 RV
May 13-19, 2021
514RVMills
45%

Mills

45%

LePage

38%

Barden

1%
MoreMills+7

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Maine
Maine
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,274 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,274LVBiden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+14
President: general election Maine
Maine
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,274 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,274RVBiden
57%

Biden

57%

Trump

40%
40%
TrumpBiden+17

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election ME-1
ME-1
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
549 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
549LVBiden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

35%

Hawkins

3%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+21
President: general election ME-2
ME-2
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
475 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
475LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

50%
50%
TrumpEven
President: general election Maine
Maine
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
1,024 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
1,024LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

40%

Jorgensen

4%

Hawkins

2%
MoreBiden+12
President: general election ME-2
ME-2
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
475 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
475LVBiden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

4%

Hawkins

1%
MoreBiden+1
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Maine Maine
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
1,024 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
1,024LVGideon
54%

Gideon

54%

Collins

46%
46%
CollinsGideon+8
U.S. Senate
Maine Maine
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
1,024 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
1,024LVGideon
46%

Gideon

46%

Collins

42%

Savage

7%

Linn

2%
MoreGideon+4
U.S. House
U.S. House
ME-2 ME-2
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
475 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
475LVGolden
53%

Golden

53%

Crafts

44%
44%
CraftsGolden+9

Oct. 31, 2020

President: general election
President: general election ME-2
ME-2
Oct 29-31, 2020
301 LV
Oct 29-31, 2020
301LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+3
President: general election ME-1
ME-1
Oct 29-31, 2020
310 LV
Oct 29-31, 2020
310LVBiden
58%

Biden

58%

Trump

39%
39%
TrumpBiden+19
President: general election Maine
Maine
Oct 29-31, 2020
611 LV
Oct 29-31, 2020
611LVBiden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+11
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Maine Maine
Oct 29-31, 2020
611 LV
Oct 29-31, 2020
611LVGideon
48%

Gideon

48%

Collins

46%

Savage

5%

Linn

1%
MoreGideon+2
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