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Who’s ahead in the Maine race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 4, 2022

U.S. House, ME-2, 2022

404LV
Apr.21-May 5
404LV
Golden
45%
Golden
45%

Golden

45%

Poliquin

36%
36%
Poliquin  Golden+9

U.S. House, ME-1, 2022

421LV
Apr.21-May 5
421LV
Pingree
51%
Pingree
51%

Pingree

51%

Thelander

31%
31%
Thelander  Pingree+20

Governor, Maine, 2022

824LV
Apr.21-May 5
824LV
Mills
46%
Mills
46%

Mills

46%

LePage

42%
42%
LePage  Mills+4

April 6, 2022

Governor, Maine, 2022

622A
Mar.14-Apr.7
622A
Mills
42%
Mills
42%

Mills

42%

LePage

39%
39%
LePage  Mills+3

Aug. 30, 2021

Governor, Maine, 2022

1,242RV
Aug.24-31
1,242RV
Mills
46%
Mills
46%

Mills

46%

LePage

41%
41%
LePage  Mills+5

May 18, 2021

Governor, Maine, 2022

514RV
May 13-19
514RV
Mills
45%
Mills
45%

Mills

45%

LePage

38%

Barden

1%
38%
LePageMills+7

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election, ME-1, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

549LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
549LV
Biden
56%
Biden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

35%

Hawkins

3%

Jorgensen

2%
35%
TrumpBiden+21

President: general election, ME-2, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

475LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
475LV
Biden
50%
Biden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Even
475LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
475LV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

46%

Jorgensen

4%

Hawkins

1%
46%
TrumpBiden+1

President: general election, Maine, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,024LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
1,024LV
Biden
52%
Biden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

40%

Jorgensen

4%

Hawkins

2%
40%
TrumpBiden+12
1,274LV
Oct.20-Nov.2
1,274LV
Biden
56%
Biden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Biden+14
1,274RV
Oct.20-Nov.2
1,274RV
Biden
57%
Biden
57%

Biden

57%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Biden+17

U.S. Senate, Maine, 2020

1,024LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
1,024LV
Gideon
54%
Gideon
54%

Gideon

54%

Collins

46%
46%
Collins  Gideon+8
1,024LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
1,024LV
Gideon
46%
Gideon
46%

Gideon

46%

Collins

42%

Savage

7%

Linn

2%
42%
CollinsGideon+4

U.S. House, ME-2, 2020

475LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
475LV
Golden
53%
Golden
53%

Golden

53%

Crafts

44%
44%
Crafts  Golden+9
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

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Democratic-funded

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