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Who’s ahead in the Minnesota race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 16, 2023

President: general election, Minnesota, 2024

Nov. 14-17
1,519LV
Nov. 14-17
1,519LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Biden+3

President: Republican primary, Minnesota, 2024

Nov. 14-17
LV
Nov. 14-17
LV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

17%

Haley

12%

Ramaswamy

4%

Christie

1%

Burgum

1%
17%
DeSantisTrump+43

Oct. 3, 2023

President: general election, Minnesota, 2024

Oct. 1-4
477RV
Oct. 1-4
477RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Biden+2

May 7, 2023

President: general election, Minnesota, 2024

May 6-8
500LV
May 6-8
500LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

DeSantis

43%
43%
DeSantis  Biden+2
May 6-8
500LV
May 6-8
500LV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Biden+8

Oct. 29, 2022

Governor, Minnesota, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 26-30
836LV
Oct. 26-30
836LV
Walz
51%
Walz
51%

Walz

51%

Jensen

43%
43%
Jensen  Walz+8
Oct. 10-30
219LV
Oct. 10-30
219LV
Walz
52%
Walz
52%

Walz

52%

Jensen

31%
31%
Jensen  Walz+21

Oct. 22, 2022

U.S. House, MN-1, 2022

Oct. 20-23
563LV
Oct. 20-23
563LV
Ettinger
37%
Ettinger
37%

Ettinger

37%

Finstad

46%

Reisdorf

6%
46%
FinstadFinstad+9
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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