See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 28, 2020, at 1:02 PM

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Who’s ahead in Minnesota?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Minn.
Minn.
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
5,252 LV
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
5,252LVBiden
55%

Biden

55%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+12
President: general election Minn.
Minn.
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
5,252 RV
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
5,252RVBiden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+11

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

President: general election
President: general election Minn.
Minn.
Oct 24-26, 2020
657 LV
Oct 24-26, 2020
657LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

39%
39%
TrumpBiden+14
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 24-26, 2020
657 LV
Oct 24-26, 2020
657LVSmith
53%

Smith

53%

Lewis

39%
39%
LewisSmith+14

Oct. 22, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Minn.
Minn.
Oct 16-20, 2020
625 LV
Oct 16-20, 2020
625LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+6
President: general election Minn.
Minn.
Oct 11-20, 2020
864 LV
Oct 11-20, 2020
864LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+9

Oct. 21, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Minn.
Minn.
Oct 17-20, 2020
840 LV
Oct 17-20, 2020
840LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+10
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 17-20, 2020
840 LV
Oct 17-20, 2020
840LVSmith
54%

Smith

54%

Lewis

43%

Steinberg

1%

O'Connor

1%
MoreSmith+11
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 16-20, 2020
625 LV
Oct 16-20, 2020
625LVSmith
43%

Smith

43%

Lewis

42%
42%
LewisSmith+1

Oct. 20, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Minn.
Minn.
Oct 12-15, 2020
1,021 LV
Oct 12-15, 2020
1,021LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

2%

West

1%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+5
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 12-15, 2020
1,021 LV
Oct 12-15, 2020
1,021LVSmith
48%

Smith

48%

Lewis

44%

O'Connor

3%

Steinberg

1%
MoreSmith+4
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