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Who’s ahead in the Minnesota ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 2, 2024

President: general election, Minnesota, 2024

Feb. 29-March 3
125LV
Feb. 29-March 3
125LV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Biden+8
Feb. 29-March 3
125RV
Feb. 29-March 3
125RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Biden+8

Feb. 27, 2024

President: general election, Minnesota, 2024

Feb. 23-28
1,603LV
Feb. 23-28
1,603LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Biden+4

President: Democratic primary, Minnesota, 2024

Feb. 23-28
501LV
Feb. 23-28
501LV
Biden
76%
Biden
76%

Biden

76%

Phillips

7%
7%
Phillips  Biden+69

President: Republican primary, Minnesota, 2024

Feb. 23-28
545LV
Feb. 23-28
545LV
Trump
79%
Trump
79%

Trump

79%

Haley

15%
15%
Haley  Trump+64

U.S. Senate, Minnesota, 2024, General election

Feb. 23-28
1,603LV
Feb. 23-28
1,603LV
Klobuchar
49%
Klobuchar
49%

Klobuchar

49%

Fraser

33%
33%
Fraser  Klobuchar+16

Jan. 28, 2024

President: general election, Minnesota, 2024

Jan. 24-29
1,594LV
Jan. 24-29
1,594LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Biden+3

President: Democratic primary, Minnesota, 2024

Jan. 24-29
522LV
Jan. 24-29
522LV
Biden
70%
Biden
70%

Biden

70%

Phillips

9%

Williamson

3%
9%
PhillipsBiden+61

President: Republican primary, Minnesota, 2024

Jan. 24-29
537LV
Jan. 24-29
537LV
Trump
76%
Trump
76%

Trump

76%

Haley

14%
14%
Haley  Trump+62

Nov. 16, 2023

President: general election, Minnesota, 2024

Nov. 14-17
1,519LV
Nov. 14-17
1,519LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Biden+3

President: Republican primary, Minnesota, 2024

Nov. 14-17
LV
Nov. 14-17
LV
Trump
60%
Trump
60%

Trump

60%

DeSantis

17%

Haley

12%

Ramaswamy

4%

Christie

1%

Burgum

1%
17%
DeSantisTrump+43

Oct. 3, 2023

President: general election, Minnesota, 2024

Oct. 1-4
477RV
Oct. 1-4
477RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Biden+2
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