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Who’s ahead in the Montana ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 3, 2024

President: general election, Montana, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4
752LV
Nov. 1-4
752LV
Harris
39%
Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

59%
59%
Trump  Trump+20
Nov. 1-4
752LV
Nov. 1-4
752LV
Harris
37%
Harris
37%

Harris

37%

Trump

57%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
57%
TrumpTrump+20

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4
752LV
Nov. 1-4
752LV
Tester
39%
Tester
39%

Tester

39%

Sheehy

50%
50%
Sheehy  Sheehy+11

Oct. 24, 2024

President: general election, Montana, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 23-25
1,000LV
Oct. 23-25
1,000LV
Harris
40%
Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

59%
59%
Trump  Trump+19

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election

Oct. 23-25
1,000LV
Oct. 23-25
1,000LV
Tester
48%
Tester
48%

Tester

48%

Sheehy

51%

Daoud

1%

Barb

1%
51%
SheehySheehy+3

Oct. 16, 2024

U.S. House, MT-1, 2024, General election

Oct. 14-17
500LV
Oct. 14-17
500LV
Tranel
45%
Tranel
45%

Tranel

45%

Zinke

46%

Hayes

4%
46%
ZinkeZinke+1

Oct. 15, 2024

President: general election, Montana, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 30-Oct. 16
760A
Sept. 30-Oct. 16
760A
Harris
34%
Harris
34%

Harris

34%

Trump

52%

Kennedy

3%

Oliver

2%

Stein

1%
52%
TrumpTrump+18

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election

Sept. 30-Oct. 16
760A
Sept. 30-Oct. 16
760A
Tester
43%
Tester
43%

Tester

43%

Sheehy

43%

Daoud

4%

Barb

2%
43%
SheehyEven

U.S. House, MT-1, 2024, General election

Oct. 13-16
400LV
Oct. 13-16
400LV
Tranel
44%
Tranel
44%

Tranel

44%

Zinke

52%
52%
Zinke  Zinke+8
Sept. 30-Oct. 16
326A
Sept. 30-Oct. 16
326A
Tranel
37%
Tranel
37%

Tranel

37%

Zinke

44%

Hayes

4%
44%
ZinkeZinke+7

U.S. House, MT-2, 2024, General election

Sept. 30-Oct. 16
402A
Sept. 30-Oct. 16
402A
Driscoll
26%
Driscoll
26%

Driscoll

26%

Downing

43%

Metzger

4%

Neill

3%
43%
DowningDowning+17

Governor, Montana, 2024, General election

Sept. 30-Oct. 16
760A
Sept. 30-Oct. 16
760A
Busse
31%
Busse
31%

Busse

31%

Gianforte

50%

Leib

5%
50%
GianforteGianforte+19

Oct. 7, 2024

President: general election, Montana, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
656LV
Oct. 5-8
656LV
Harris
39%
Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

56%

Stein

0%

Oliver

0%
56%
TrumpTrump+17
Oct. 5-8
656LV
Oct. 5-8
656LV
Harris
40%
Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

57%
57%
Trump  Trump+17
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Harris
38%
Harris
38%

Harris

38%

Trump

56%

Stein

0%

Oliver

0%
56%
TrumpTrump+18
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Harris
39%
Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

57%
57%
Trump  Trump+18

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
656LV
Oct. 5-8
656LV
Tester
44%
Tester
44%

Tester

44%

Sheehy

52%
52%
Sheehy  Sheehy+8
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Tester
44%
Tester
44%

Tester

44%

Sheehy

51%
51%
Sheehy  Sheehy+7

Governor, Montana, 2024, General election

Oct. 5-8
656LV
Oct. 5-8
656LV
Busse
35%
Busse
35%

Busse

35%

Gianforte

57%
57%
Gianforte  Gianforte+22
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Busse
35%
Busse
35%

Busse

35%

Gianforte

57%
57%
Gianforte  Gianforte+22
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Candidate is an incumbent

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