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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Dec. 7, 2024

President: Republican primary, 2028

Dec. 6-8
994RV
Dec. 6-8
994RV
Trump Jr.
30%
Trump Jr.
30%

Trump Jr.

30%

Vance

30%

DeSantis

9%

Haley

6%

Ramaswamy

5%

Kennedy

5%

Sanders

1%

Rubio

1%

Carlson

1%

Abbott

1%

Kemp

1%

Youngkin

1%
30%
VanceEven

Nov. 21, 2024

President: Democratic primary, 2028

Nov. 20-22
400A
Nov. 20-22
400A
Harris
37%
Harris
37%

Harris

37%

Newsom

7%

Buttigieg

4%

Whitmer

3%

Shapiro

3%

Obama

2%

Sanders

2%

Walz

1%

Ocasio-Cortez

1%

Jeffries

1%

Moore

1%

Pritzker

1%

Leibowitz

1%

Tlaib

1%

Beshear

0%

Kelly

0%
7%
NewsomHarris+30

President: Republican primary, 2028

Nov. 20-22
420A
Nov. 20-22
420A
Vance
30%
Vance
30%

Vance

30%

Trump

23%

DeSantis

5%

Ramaswamy

3%

Haley

2%

Kennedy

2%

Gabbard

1%

Rubio

1%

Owens

1%

Cruz

1%

Musk

0%

Youngkin

0%
23%
TrumpVance+7

Nov. 17, 2024

President: Democratic primary, 2028

Nov. 14-18
465LV
Nov. 14-18
465LV
Harris
41%
Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Newsom

8%

Shapiro

7%

Buttigieg

6%

Walz

6%

Ocasio-Cortez

4%

Whitmer

3%

Pritzker

2%

Beshear

2%

Booker

2%

Polis

1%

Moore

1%

Fetterman

0%

Warnock

0%
8%
NewsomHarris+33

President: Republican primary, 2028

Nov. 14-18
475LV
Nov. 14-18
475LV
Vance
37%
Vance
37%

Vance

37%

Ramaswamy

9%

Haley

9%

DeSantis

8%

Cruz

5%

Rubio

5%

Sanders

2%

Hawley

1%

Scott

1%

Youngkin

1%

Noem

1%

Britt

0%

Burgum

0%

Stefanik

0%
9%
RamaswamyVance+28

Nov. 16, 2024

President: Democratic primary, 2028

Nov. 15-17
1,012A
Nov. 15-17
1,012A
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Buttigieg

9%

Newsom

8%

Walz

7%

Shapiro

5%

Ocasio-Cortez

4%

Whitmer

3%

Booker

2%

Klobuchar

2%

Warren

2%

Beshear

2%

Moore

1%

Pritzker

1%

Fetterman

1%
9%
ButtigiegHarris+34

Nov. 3, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4
2,703LV
Nov. 3-4
2,703LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1
Nov. 3-4
2,703LV
Nov. 3-4
2,703LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

Stein

1%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+1
Nov. 2-4
1,863LV
Nov. 2-4
1,863LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

West

1%

Stein

1%
49%
TrumpEven
Nov. 2-4
1,863LV
Nov. 2-4
1,863LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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