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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 13, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 13-14
2,426LV
July 13-14
2,426LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+4
July 12-14
11,328RV
July 12-14
11,328RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+2

July 12, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 8-13
4,616LV
July 8-13
4,616LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3

July 10, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 9-11
4,000RV
July 9-11
4,000RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+2
July 8-11
2,300LV
July 8-11
2,300LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

7%

West

1%

Stein

1%
43%
TrumpTrump+3
July 8-11
2,300LV
July 8-11
2,300LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3

July 9, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Newsom
50%
Newsom
50%

Newsom

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Newsom+2
July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Whitmer
49%
Whitmer
49%

Whitmer

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1
July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

8%

West

3%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
43%
TrumpTrump+1
July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Biden
50%
Biden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Biden+2
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Newsom
48%
Newsom
48%

Newsom

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Whitmer
48%
Whitmer
48%

Whitmer

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

10%

Stein

3%

West

1%
44%
TrumpTrump+3

July 8, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 7-9
1,443RV
July 7-9
1,443RV
Harris
38%
Harris
38%

Harris

38%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

5%

Stein

2%

West

1%
42%
TrumpTrump+4
July 7-9
1,443RV
July 7-9
1,443RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

4%

West

1%

Stein

1%
43%
TrumpTrump+3
July 7-9
800RV
July 7-9
800RV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+2
July 7-9
800RV
July 7-9
800RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

10%

Stein

3%

Oliver

2%

West

1%
40%
TrumpTrump+3
July 7-9
800RV
July 7-9
800RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Trump+2
July 5-9
2,041RV
July 5-9
2,041RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
July 5-9
2,041RV
July 5-9
2,041RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

9%

West

2%

Stein

2%
43%
TrumpTrump+1
July 5-9
2,041RV
July 5-9
2,041RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Even
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