UPDATED May 24, 2021, at 11:06 AM

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Who’s ahead in New Mexico?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
NM-1NM-1
May 18-21, 2021
555 LV
May 18-21, 2021
555LVStansbury
49%

Stansbury

49%

Moores

33%

Dunn

5%

Manning

3%
MoreStansbury+16

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 18, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Jul 28-29, 2018
500
Jul 28-29, 2018
500Heinrich
39%

Heinrich

39%

Rich

25%

Johnson

24%
MoreHeinrich+14
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Jul 15-17, 2018
500
Jul 15-17, 2018
500Heinrich
38%

Heinrich

38%

Rich

25%

Johnson

24%
MoreHeinrich+13

Nov. 15, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Jul 28-29, 2018
900 LV
Jul 28-29, 2018
900LVHeinrich
40%

Heinrich

40%

Johnson

42%
42%
JohnsonJohnson+2

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.M.
N.M.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,481 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,481LVBiden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+14
President: general election N.M.
N.M.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,481 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
1,481RVBiden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+14

Oct. 31, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.M.
N.M.
Oct 23-29, 2020
1,180 LV
Oct 23-29, 2020
1,180LVBiden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+12
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.M.N.M.
Oct 23-29, 2020
1,180 LV
Oct 23-29, 2020
1,180LVLujan
52%

Lujan

52%

Ronchetti

44%

Walsh

3%
MoreLujan+8
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