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Who’s ahead in the New Mexico ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 11, 2023

U.S. House, NM-2, 2024, General election

Sept. 6-12
541LV
Sept. 6-12
541LV
Vasquez
45%
Vasquez
45%

Vasquez

45%

Herrell

46%
46%
Herrell  Herrell+1

Aug. 23, 2023

President: general election, New Mexico, 2024

Aug. 23-24
767RV
Aug. 23-24
767RV
Biden
49%
Biden
49%

Biden

49%

DeSantis

43%
43%
DeSantis  Biden+6
Aug. 23-24
767RV
Aug. 23-24
767RV
Biden
49%
Biden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Biden+8

May 7, 2023

President: general election, New Mexico, 2024

May 6-8
500LV
May 6-8
500LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

DeSantis

43%
43%
DeSantis  Biden+2
May 6-8
500LV
May 6-8
500LV
Biden
49%
Biden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Biden+11

Oct. 27, 2022

President: general election, New Mexico, 2024

Oct. 25-28
1,000LV
Oct. 25-28
1,000LV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Biden+10

U.S. House, NM-3, 2022, General election

Oct. 25-28
326LV
Oct. 25-28
326LV
Fernandez
58%
Fernandez
58%

Fernandez

58%

Johnson

40%
40%
Johnson  Fernandez+18

U.S. House, NM-1, 2022, General election

Oct. 25-28
372LV
Oct. 25-28
372LV
Stansbury
54%
Stansbury
54%

Stansbury

54%

Garcia Holmes

43%
43%
Garcia Holmes  Stansbury+11

U.S. House, NM-2, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 25-28
302LV
Oct. 25-28
302LV
Vasquez
44%
Vasquez
44%

Vasquez

44%

Herrell

54%
54%
Herrell  Herrell+11

Governor, New Mexico, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 25-28
1,000LV
Oct. 25-28
1,000LV
Lujan Grisham
50%
Lujan Grisham
50%

Lujan Grisham

50%

Ronchetti

48%

Bedonie

2%
48%
RonchettiLujan Grisham+2

Oct. 26, 2022

U.S. House, NM-3, 2022, General election

Oct. 20-27
434LV
Oct. 20-27
434LV
Fernandez
53%
Fernandez
53%

Fernandez

53%

Johnson

35%
35%
Johnson  Fernandez+18

U.S. House, NM-2, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 20-27
410LV
Oct. 20-27
410LV
Vasquez
47%
Vasquez
47%

Vasquez

47%

Herrell

45%
45%
Herrell  Vasquez+2

U.S. House, NM-1, 2022, General election

Oct. 20-27
410LV
Oct. 20-27
410LV
Stansbury
48%
Stansbury
48%

Stansbury

48%

Garcia Holmes

42%
42%
Garcia Holmes  Stansbury+6

Governor, New Mexico, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 20-27
1,254LV
Oct. 20-27
1,254LV
Lujan Grisham
50%
Lujan Grisham
50%

Lujan Grisham

50%

Ronchetti

42%

Bedonie

3%
42%
RonchettiLujan Grisham+8
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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