UPDATED Sep. 16, 2021, at 9:55 AM

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Who’s ahead in New York?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added July 8, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
N.Y.N.Y.
Jul 12-16, 2018
934 RV
Jul 12-16, 2018
934RVCuomo
43%

Cuomo

43%

Molinaro

23%

Nixon

13%

Sharpe

3%

Hawkins

2%

Miner

1%
MoreCuomo+20

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

March 18, 2021

Governor
Governor
N.Y.N.Y.
Sep 20-27, 2018
701 LV
Sep 20-27, 2018
701LVCuomo
50%

Cuomo

50%

Molinaro

28%

Sharpe

2%

Hawkins

1%

Miner

1%
MoreCuomo+22

Feb. 8, 2021

Governor
Governor
N.Y.N.Y.
Feb 3-5, 2021
810 LV
Feb 3-5, 2021
810LVOcasio-Cortez
50%

Ocasio-Cortez

50%

Stefanik

42%
42%
StefanikOcasio-Cortez+8
Governor
N.Y.N.Y.
Feb 3-5, 2021
810 LV
Feb 3-5, 2021
810LVCuomo
51%

Cuomo

51%

Stefanik

39%
39%
StefanikCuomo+12

Nov. 22, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.Y.N.Y.
Jul 12-16, 2018
934 RV
Jul 12-16, 2018
934RVGillibrand
57%

Gillibrand

57%

Farley

30%
30%
FarleyGillibrand+27

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.Y.
N.Y.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,548 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,548LVBiden
63%

Biden

63%

Trump

35%
35%
TrumpBiden+28
President: general election N.Y.
N.Y.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,548 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
6,548RVBiden
62%

Biden

62%

Trump

34%
34%
TrumpBiden+28
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