UPDATED Mar. 2, 2021, at 10:54 AM

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Who’s ahead in New York?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 23, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.Y.N.Y.
Jul 12-16, 2018
934 RV
Jul 12-16, 2018
934RVGillibrand
57%

Gillibrand

57%

Farley

30%
30%
FarleyGillibrand+27

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 2, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.Y.
N.Y.
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450 LV
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450LVBiden
61%

Biden

61%

Trump

33%
33%
TrumpBiden+28
President: general election N.Y.
N.Y.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
5,830 LV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
5,830LVBiden
63%

Biden

63%

Trump

35%
35%
TrumpBiden+28
President: general election N.Y.
N.Y.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
5,830 RV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
5,830RVBiden
63%

Biden

63%

Trump

34%
34%
TrumpBiden+29
U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-24NY-24
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
738 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
738LVBalter
46%

Balter

46%

Katko

44%

Williams

4%
MoreBalter+2

Oct. 30, 2020

President: general election
President: general election N.Y.
N.Y.
Oct 23-26, 2020
495 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
495LVBiden
65%

Biden

65%

Trump

33%

Hawkins

1%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreBiden+33

Oct. 27, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-11NY-11
Oct 19-21, 2020
861 RV
Oct 19-21, 2020
861RVRose
47%

Rose

47%

Malliotakis

46%
46%
MalliotakisRose+1

Oct. 26, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-11NY-11
Oct 19-21, 2020
650 LV
Oct 19-21, 2020
650LVRose
46%

Rose

46%

Malliotakis

48%
48%
MalliotakisMalliotakis+2
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