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Who’s ahead in the New York ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 2, 2024

President: general election, New York, 2024

May 2-3
1,059RV
May 2-3
1,059RV
Biden
56%
Biden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  Biden+19

April 20, 2024

President: general election, New York, 2024

April 13-21
749LV
April 13-21
749LV
Kennedy
45%
Kennedy
45%

Kennedy

45%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Kennedy+6
April 13-21
749LV
April 13-21
749LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Kennedy

44%
44%
Kennedy  Even

April 16, 2024

President: general election, New York, 2024

April 15-17
806RV
April 15-17
806RV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  Biden+10

March 29, 2024

U.S. House, NY-16, 2024, Democratic primary

March 26-30
400LV
March 26-30
400LV
Latimer
52%
Latimer
52%

Latimer

52%

Bowman

35%

Farber

0%
35%
BowmanLatimer+17

March 9, 2024

U.S. House, NY-16, 2024, Democratic primary

March 5-10
608RV
March 5-10
608RV
Bowman
44%
Bowman
44%

Bowman

44%

Latimer

43%
43%
Latimer  Bowman+1
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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