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Who’s ahead in the New York ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 17, 2024

President: general election, New York, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 18
500LV
July 18
500LV
Harris
52%
Harris
52%

Harris

52%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Harris+11
July 18
500LV
July 18
500LV
Biden
52%
Biden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Biden+11

July 11, 2024

U.S. House, NY-4, 2024, General election

July 9-12
713LV
July 9-12
713LV
Gillen
46%
Gillen
46%

Gillen

46%

D'Esposito

39%
39%
D'Esposito  Gillen+7

July 10, 2024

U.S. House, NY-19, 2024, General election

July 9-11
420RV
July 9-11
420RV
Riley
38%
Riley
38%

Riley

38%

Molinaro

47%
47%
Molinaro  Molinaro+9

June 16, 2024

President: general election, New York, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 12-17
805RV
June 12-17
805RV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Biden+8

June 7, 2024

U.S. House, NY-16, 2024, Democratic primary

June 6-8
425LV
June 6-8
425LV
Latimer
48%
Latimer
48%

Latimer

48%

Bowman

31%
31%
Bowman  Latimer+17
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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