UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 5:20 PM

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Who’s ahead in the New York race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 24, 2022

U.S. Senate, New York, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

655LV
Sep.16-25
655LV
Schumer
55%
Schumer
55%

Schumer

55%

Pinion

36%
36%
Pinion  Schumer+19

Governor, New York, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

800LV
Sep.21-25
800LV
Hochul
51%
Hochul
51%

Hochul

51%

Zeldin

45%
45%
Zeldin  Hochul+6
655LV
Sep.16-25
655LV
Hochul
54%
Hochul
54%

Hochul

54%

Zeldin

37%
37%
Zeldin  Hochul+17

Sept. 21, 2022

U.S. House, NY-19, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

652LV
Sep.20-22
652LV
Riley
42%
Riley
42%

Riley

42%

Molinaro

51%
51%
Molinaro  Molinaro+10

Sept. 12, 2022

Governor, New York, 2022
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931LV
Sep.9-13
931LV
Hochul
52%
Hochul
52%

Hochul

52%

Zeldin

39%
39%
Zeldin  Hochul+13

Sept. 8, 2022

Governor, New York, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Sep.8-9
500LV
Hochul
54%
Hochul
54%

Hochul

54%

Zeldin

39%
39%
Zeldin  Hochul+15

Sept. 7, 2022

U.S. House, NY-17, 2022

400LV
Sep.6-8
400LV
Maloney
45%
Maloney
45%

Maloney

45%

Lawler

49%
49%
Lawler  Lawler+4
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