UPDATED Sep. 27, 2022, at 8:10 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Oregon race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 7, 2022

U.S. House, OR-5, 2022

400LV
Sep.1-8
400LV
McLeod-Skinner
41%
McLeod-Skinner
41%

McLeod-Skinner

41%

Chavez-DeRemer

38%
38%
Chavez-DeRemer  McLeod-Skinner+3

Aug. 18, 2022

U.S. House, OR-6, 2022

409LV
Aug.14-19
409LV
Salinas
34%
Salinas
34%

Salinas

34%

Erickson

43%
43%
Erickson  Erickson+9

Aug. 17, 2022

U.S. House, OR-5, 2022

410LV
Aug.15-18
410LV
McLeod-Skinner
34%
McLeod-Skinner
34%

McLeod-Skinner

34%

Chavez-DeRemer

44%
44%
Chavez-DeRemer  Chavez-DeRemer+10

Aug. 13, 2022

U.S. House, OR-6, 2022

500LV
Aug.10-14
500LV
Salinas
48%
Salinas
48%

Salinas

48%

Erickson

45%
45%
Erickson  Salinas+3

Governor, Oregon, 2022

397LV
Aug.10-14
397LV
Kotek
32%
Kotek
32%

Kotek

32%

Drazan

33%

Johnson

21%
33%
DrazanDrazan+1

July 27, 2022

U.S. House, OR-6, 2022

400LV
Jul.26-28
400LV
Salinas
40%
Salinas
40%

Salinas

40%

Erickson

47%
47%
Erickson  Erickson+7

U.S. House, OR-4, 2022

400LV
Jul.25-28
400LV
Hoyle
46%
Hoyle
46%

Hoyle

46%

Skarlatos

41%
41%
Skarlatos  Hoyle+5
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