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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 10, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 9-11
872LV
July 9-11
872LV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

6%

Stein

2%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
43%
TrumpTrump+1
July 9-11
872RV
July 9-11
872RV
Harris
40%
Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

3%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
42%
TrumpTrump+2
July 9-11
872LV
July 9-11
872LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+1
July 9-11
872RV
July 9-11
872RV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+2
July 9-11
872LV
July 9-11
872LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

2%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
42%
TrumpTrump+2
July 9-11
872RV
July 9-11
872RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

2%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
41%
TrumpTrump+3
July 9-11
872LV
July 9-11
872LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+3
July 9-11
872RV
July 9-11
872RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+4

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

July 9-11
872LV
July 9-11
872LV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

42%
42%
McCormick  Casey+8
July 9-11
872RV
July 9-11
872RV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

39%
39%
McCormick  Casey+11

July 3, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 1-4
794RV
July 1-4
794RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+7
July 1-4
794RV
July 1-4
794RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

7%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
44%
TrumpTrump+3

July 1, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 30-July 2
1,000RV
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+5

June 30, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 29-July 1
673LV
June 29-July 1
673LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

48%

Kennedy

5%

West

1%

Stein

0%
48%
TrumpTrump+5

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

June 29-July 1
673LV
June 29-July 1
673LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

48%
48%
McCormick  Casey+1

June 29, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 28-30
741LV
June 28-30
741LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

3%

Oliver

1%
46%
TrumpTrump+5
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Republican-funded

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