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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending April 15, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024

April 11-16
1,141RV
April 11-16
1,141RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
April 11-16
1,141RV
April 11-16
1,141RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

2%

West

1%
44%
TrumpTrump+2

April 12, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024

April 8-13
803RV
April 8-13
803RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+1
April 8-13
803RV
April 8-13
803RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

1%

West

0%
43%
TrumpTrump+1

March 30, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024

March 20-31
430RV
March 20-31
430RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

3%
40%
TrumpBiden+2
March 20-31
431RV
March 20-31
431RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Biden+10

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

March 20-31
431RV
March 20-31
431RV
Casey
46%
Casey
46%

Casey

46%

McCormick

39%
39%
McCormick  Casey+7

March 25, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024

March 22-26
800RV
March 22-26
800RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

7%
41%
TrumpBiden+3

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

March 22-26
800RV
March 22-26
800RV
Casey
47%
Casey
47%

Casey

47%

McCormick

30%
30%
McCormick  Casey+17

March 23, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024

March 17-24
600RV
March 17-24
600RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+3
March 17-24
600RV
March 17-24
600RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

44%

Stein

4%

Mapstead

2%
44%
TrumpTrump+4
March 17-24
600RV
March 17-24
600RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

7%

West

3%

Mapstead

1%

Stein

1%
41%
TrumpTrump+3
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The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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