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Who’s ahead in all?

An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 6, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 5-7
11,323RV
July 5-7
11,323RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+2

July 4, 2024

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 1-5
695RV
July 1-5
695RV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Biden+3
July 1-5
695RV
July 1-5
695RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

10%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
39%
TrumpBiden+2

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 1-5
694RV
July 1-5
694RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Biden+5
July 1-5
694RV
July 1-5
694RV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

6%

West

2%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
39%
TrumpBiden+6

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 1-5
781RV
July 1-5
781RV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+3
July 1-5
781RV
July 1-5
781RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

9%

West

1%

Stein

0%

Oliver

0%
45%
TrumpTrump+7

July 3, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 2-4
4,000RV
July 2-4
4,000RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+2
June 28-July 4
6,199A
June 28-July 4
6,199A
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Trump

34%
34%
Trump  Trump+3

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 1-4
794RV
July 1-4
794RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+7
July 1-4
794RV
July 1-4
794RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

7%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
44%
TrumpTrump+3

President: general election, Nevada, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 1-4
452RV
July 1-4
452RV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+3
July 1-4
452RV
July 1-4
452RV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

6%

West

2%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
45%
TrumpTrump+6

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 1-4
696RV
July 1-4
696RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3
July 1-4
696RV
July 1-4
696RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

7%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
42%
TrumpTrump+2

President: general election, Georgia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 1-4
790RV
July 1-4
790RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+1
July 1-4
790RV
July 1-4
790RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

7%

West

1%

Stein

0%

Oliver

0%
44%
TrumpTrump+2

July 2, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 1-3
1,000LV
July 1-3
1,000LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+5
July 1-3
1,000LV
July 1-3
1,000LV
Harris
38%
Harris
38%

Harris

38%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+11
July 1-3
1,000LV
July 1-3
1,000LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

7%

West

2%

Stein

2%

Oliver

2%
43%
TrumpTrump+6

July 1, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 1-2
1,070A
July 1-2
1,070A
Pritzker
29%
Pritzker
29%

Pritzker

29%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  Trump+8
July 1-2
1,070A
July 1-2
1,070A
Whitmer
32%
Whitmer
32%

Whitmer

32%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Trump+6
July 1-2
1,070A
July 1-2
1,070A
Beshear
31%
Beshear
31%

Beshear

31%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  Trump+6
July 1-2
1,070A
July 1-2
1,070A
Newsom
34%
Newsom
34%

Newsom

34%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Trump+4
July 1-2
1,070A
July 1-2
1,070A
M. Obama
47%
M. Obama
47%

M. Obama

47%

Trump

35%
35%
Trump  M. Obama+12
July 1-2
1,070A
July 1-2
1,070A
Harris
38%
Harris
38%

Harris

38%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Trump+1
July 1-2
1,070A
July 1-2
1,070A
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

36%
36%
Trump  Even
July 1-2
892RV
July 1-2
892RV
Newsom
39%
Newsom
39%

Newsom

39%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Trump+3
July 1-2
892RV
July 1-2
892RV
Pritzker
34%
Pritzker
34%

Pritzker

34%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Trump+6
July 1-2
892RV
July 1-2
892RV
Whitmer
36%
Whitmer
36%

Whitmer

36%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Trump+5
July 1-2
892RV
July 1-2
892RV
Beshear
36%
Beshear
36%

Beshear

36%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Trump+4
July 1-2
892RV
July 1-2
892RV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Trump+1
July 1-2
892RV
July 1-2
892RV
M. Obama
50%
M. Obama
50%

M. Obama

50%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  M. Obama+11
July 1-2
892RV
July 1-2
892RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Even
July 1-2
1,500LV
July 1-2
1,500LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+5
July 1-2
1,500LV
July 1-2
1,500LV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

7%

West

2%

Stein

2%
44%
TrumpTrump+5
June 30-July 2
1,392RV
June 30-July 2
1,392RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

5%

West

1%

Stein

1%
42%
TrumpTrump+2
June 29-July 2
1,500RV
June 29-July 2
1,500RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

7%

West

2%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
42%
TrumpTrump+6
June 29-July 2
1,500RV
June 29-July 2
1,500RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+6
June 28-July 2
2,815LV
June 28-July 2
2,815LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

11%

Stein

3%

West

2%
44%
TrumpTrump+4
June 28-July 2
2,815LV
June 28-July 2
2,815LV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
June 28-July 2
1,532LV
June 28-July 2
1,532LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%

West

1%
42%
TrumpTrump+5
June 28-July 2
1,532LV
June 28-July 2
1,532LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+6
June 28-July 2
1,532RV
June 28-July 2
1,532RV
Biden
33%
Biden
33%

Biden

33%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

10%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%

West

1%
40%
TrumpTrump+7
June 28-July 2
1,532RV
June 28-July 2
1,532RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+8

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 30-July 2
490RV
June 30-July 2
490RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+1
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+3

President: general election, Nevada, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 30-July 2
1,000RV
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+6

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 30-July 2
1,000RV
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+4

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 30-July 2
1,000RV
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Georgia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 30-July 2
1,000RV
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+5

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 30-July 2
1,000RV
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+5
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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