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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 13, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 13-14
2,426LV
July 13-14
2,426LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+4
July 12-14
11,328RV
July 12-14
11,328RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+2

July 12, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 11-13
600RV
July 11-13
600RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Trump+3

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 8-13
4,616LV
July 8-13
4,616LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3

July 11, 2024

President: general election, Virginia, 2024

July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

1%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
39%
TrumpHarris+4
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Harris
41%
Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

1%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
38%
TrumpHarris+3
July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+5
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+4
July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

2%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
38%
TrumpBiden+2
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

36%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

2%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
36%
TrumpBiden+2
July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Biden+3
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Biden+2

July 10, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 9-11
872LV
July 9-11
872LV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

6%

Stein

2%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
43%
TrumpTrump+1
July 9-11
872RV
July 9-11
872RV
Harris
40%
Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

3%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
42%
TrumpTrump+2
July 9-11
872LV
July 9-11
872LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+1
July 9-11
872RV
July 9-11
872RV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+2
July 9-11
872LV
July 9-11
872LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

2%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
42%
TrumpTrump+2
July 9-11
872RV
July 9-11
872RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

2%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
41%
TrumpTrump+3
July 9-11
872LV
July 9-11
872LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+3
July 9-11
872RV
July 9-11
872RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+4

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 9-11
4,000RV
July 9-11
4,000RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+2
July 8-11
2,300LV
July 8-11
2,300LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

7%

West

1%

Stein

1%
43%
TrumpTrump+3
July 8-11
2,300LV
July 8-11
2,300LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3

President: general election, Virginia, 2024

July 6-11
1,000A
July 6-11
1,000A
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Even
July 6-11
1,000A
July 6-11
1,000A
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Biden+3

July 9, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Newsom
50%
Newsom
50%

Newsom

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Newsom+2
July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Whitmer
49%
Whitmer
49%

Whitmer

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1
July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

8%

West

3%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
43%
TrumpTrump+1
July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Biden
50%
Biden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Biden+2
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Newsom
48%
Newsom
48%

Newsom

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Whitmer
48%
Whitmer
48%

Whitmer

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

10%

Stein

3%

West

1%
44%
TrumpTrump+3

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 6-10
600LV
July 6-10
600LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+1
July 6-10
600LV
July 6-10
600LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

11%

Stein

3%

Oliver

2%
38%
TrumpTrump+2
July 6-10
600LV
July 6-10
600LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+2
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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