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Who’s ahead in Arizona?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 15-16
800LV
July 15-16
800LV
InsiderAdvantage
 Biden
44%
 Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+5
July 15-16
1,000RV
July 15-16
1,000RV
Emerson College
 Biden
40%
 Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+7
July 10-11
513LV
July 10-11
513LV
J.L. Partners
 Biden
40%
 Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

2%
46%
 TrumpTrump+6
July 1-5
781RV
July 1-5
781RV
Morning Consult
 Biden
45%
 Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+3
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
Emerson College
 Biden
42%
 Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+4
June 29-July 1
638LV
June 29-July 1
638LV
Remington Research Group
 Biden
42%
 Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

49%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

1%

West

0%
49%
 TrumpTrump+7
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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