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Who’s ahead in Arkansas?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Arkansas, 2024

Sept. 5-6
696LV
Sept. 5-6
696LV
Hendrix College
 Harris
40%
 Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

55%

Kennedy

1%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
55%
 TrumpTrump+15
April 13-21
385LV
April 13-21
385LV
John Zogby Strategies
 Kennedy
42%
 Kennedy
42%

Kennedy

42%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+3
April 13-21
385LV
April 13-21
385LV
John Zogby Strategies
 Biden
35%
 Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Kennedy

53%
53%
Kennedy  Kennedy+18
Oct. 1-4
435RV
Oct. 1-4
435RV
Emerson College
 Biden
24%
 Biden
24%

Biden

24%

Trump

57%
57%
Trump  Trump+32
Aug. 31-Sept. 7
382LV
Aug. 31-Sept. 7
382LV
Echelon Insights
 Biden
31%
 Biden
31%

Biden

31%

DeSantis

49%
49%
DeSantis  DeSantis+18
Aug. 31-Sept. 7
382LV
Aug. 31-Sept. 7
382LV
Echelon Insights
 Biden
33%
 Biden
33%

Biden

33%

Trump

58%
58%
Trump  Trump+25
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