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Who’s ahead in California?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, California, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Research Co.
 Harris
64%
 Harris
64%

Harris

64%

Trump

32%
32%
Trump  Harris+32
Oct. 27-30
611LV
Oct. 27-30
611LV
Cygnal
 Harris
55%
 Harris
55%

Harris

55%

Trump

31%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

2%

De la Cruz

2%

Oliver

1%
31%
 TrumpHarris+25
Oct. 22-29
4,341LV
Oct. 22-29
4,341LV
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies
 Harris
57%
 Harris
57%

Harris

57%

Trump

35%

Kennedy

1%

Stein

1%

De la Cruz

0%

Oliver

0%
35%
 TrumpHarris+22
Oct. 7-27
400LV
Oct. 7-27
400LV
ActiVote
 Harris
63%
 Harris
63%

Harris

63%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  Harris+26
Oct. 7-17
1,139LV
Oct. 7-17
1,139LV
YouGov
 Harris
63%
 Harris
63%

Harris

63%

Trump

34%
34%
Trump  Harris+29
Oct. 7-17
1,139RV
Oct. 7-17
1,139RV
YouGov
 Harris
63%
 Harris
63%

Harris

63%

Trump

34%
34%
Trump  Harris+29
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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