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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 15-16
800LV
July 15-16
800LV
Harris
39%
Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+10
July 15-16
800LV
July 15-16
800LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+6
July 8-10
465LV
July 8-10
465LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

5%

Oliver

0%

Stein

0%
45%
TrumpTrump+4
June 8-11
432LV
June 8-11
432LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

7%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
43%
TrumpTrump+6
June 8-9
771LV
June 8-9
771LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

8%
45%
TrumpTrump+5
June 8-9
883RV
June 8-9
883RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

10%
43%
TrumpTrump+6
June 8-9
771LV
June 8-9
771LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+6
June 8-9
883RV
June 8-9
883RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+4
June 6-9
1,050LV
June 6-9
1,050LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+10
June 1-3
1,075RV
June 1-3
1,075RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

7%

West

2%

Stein

1%
47%
TrumpTrump+7
June 1-3
1,075RV
June 1-3
1,075RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+4
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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