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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+7
Nov. 1-2
400LV
Nov. 1-2
400LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+4
Oct. 25-Nov. 1
452LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 1
452LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

53%
53%
Trump  Trump+7
Oct. 23-Nov. 1
2,022LV
Oct. 23-Nov. 1
2,022LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+5
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,250LV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,250LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

52%

Oliver

0%

Stein

0%
52%
TrumpTrump+7
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,099RV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,099RV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

50%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
50%
TrumpTrump+4
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,250A
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,250A
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

49%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+2
Oct. 26-28
600LV
Oct. 26-28
600LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

48%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%

Sonski

1%

De la Cruz

1%

Terry

0%
48%
TrumpTrump+5
Oct. 19-27
897LV
Oct. 19-27
897LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

53%
53%
Trump  Trump+9
Oct. 19-27
913RV
Oct. 19-27
913RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

53%
53%
Trump  Trump+9
Oct. 11-27
400LV
Oct. 11-27
400LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

56%
56%
Trump  Trump+12
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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