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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 15-16
800LV
July 15-16
800LV
InsiderAdvantage
 Biden
44%
 Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+6
June 8-9
771LV
June 8-9
771LV
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
 Biden
40%
 Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

8%
45%
 TrumpTrump+5
June 6-9
1,050LV
June 6-9
1,050LV
The Tyson Group
 Biden
36%
 Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+10
June 1-3
1,075RV
June 1-3
1,075RV
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research
 Biden
40%
 Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

7%

West

2%

Stein

1%
47%
 TrumpTrump+7
May 10-16
1,174LV
May 10-16
1,174LV
YouGov
 Biden
36%
 Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

49%

Stein

3%
49%
 TrumpTrump+13
May 9-16
486RV
May 9-16
486RV
Prime Group
 Biden
39%
 Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

48%

Kennedy

9%

West

3%

Stein

1%
48%
 TrumpTrump+9
April 28-May 7
609LV
April 28-May 7
609LV
Cherry Communications
 Biden
37%
 Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

10%
46%
 TrumpTrump+9
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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