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Who’s ahead in Iowa?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Iowa, 2024

Nov. 2-3
435LV
Nov. 2-3
435LV
SoCal Strategies
 Harris
44%
 Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+8
Nov. 2-3
501RV
Nov. 2-3
501RV
SoCal Strategies
 Harris
43%
 Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+7
Nov. 2-3
800LV
Nov. 2-3
800LV
InsiderAdvantage
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+7
Nov. 1-2
800LV
Nov. 1-2
800LV
Emerson College
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

54%
54%
Trump  Trump+9
Oct. 28-31
808LV
Oct. 28-31
808LV
Selzer & Co.
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

3%

Oliver

0%
44%
 TrumpHarris+3
Sept. 27-28
600LV
Sept. 27-28
600LV
Cygnal
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+7
Sept. 8-11
656LV
Sept. 8-11
656LV
Selzer & Co.
 Harris
43%
 Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

6%

Oliver

1%
47%
 TrumpTrump+4
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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