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Who’s ahead in Maryland?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Maryland, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 23-Nov. 1
472LV
Oct. 23-Nov. 1
472LV
Morning Consult
 Harris
64%
 Harris
64%

Harris

64%

Trump

31%
31%
Trump  Harris+32
Oct. 28-30
510LV
Oct. 28-30
510LV
Chism Strategies
 Harris
56%
 Harris
56%

Harris

56%

Trump

33%

Stein

1%

Kennedy

0%

Oliver

0%
33%
 TrumpHarris+23
Oct. 6-30
400LV
Oct. 6-30
400LV
ActiVote
 Harris
64%
 Harris
64%

Harris

64%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  Harris+27
Oct. 23-27
500LV
Oct. 23-27
500LV
University of Maryland Applied Political Analytics Program/YouGov
 Harris
61%
 Harris
61%

Harris

61%

Trump

34%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
34%
 TrumpHarris+27
Oct. 17-22
1,000LV
Oct. 17-22
1,000LV
The Washington Post/University of Maryland Center for Democracy and Civic Engagement
 Harris
61%
 Harris
61%

Harris

61%

Trump

33%
33%
Trump  Harris+28
Oct. 19-21
865LV
Oct. 19-21
865LV
Emerson College
 Harris
64%
 Harris
64%

Harris

64%

Trump

34%
34%
Trump  Harris+30
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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