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Who’s ahead in Michigan?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4
1,113LV
Nov. 3-4
1,113LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
Nov. 3-4
1,113LV
Nov. 3-4
1,113LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
50%
TrumpTrump+2
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Nov. 1-3
1,079LV
Nov. 1-3
1,079LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Nov. 1-3
858RV
Nov. 1-3
858RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1
Nov. 1-2
800LV
Nov. 1-2
800LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Even
Nov. 1-2
1,198LV
Nov. 1-2
1,198LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
Nov. 1-2
1,198LV
Nov. 1-2
1,198LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+2
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
790LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
790LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
998LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
998LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%

West

0%
45%
TrumpEven
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
998LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
998LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Even
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
998RV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
998RV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

44%

Stein

2%

Oliver

2%

West

1%
44%
TrumpTrump+2
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
998RV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
998RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+3
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
585LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
585LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
585LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
585LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

1%

Kennedy

0%
48%
TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
733RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
733RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
713LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
713LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 8-Nov. 2
400LV
Oct. 8-Nov. 2
400LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
2,092LV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
2,092LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

45%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
45%
TrumpHarris+5
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,941RV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,941RV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

44%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
44%
TrumpHarris+7
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
2,092A
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
2,092A
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

44%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
44%
TrumpHarris+6
Oct. 30-31
1,136LV
Oct. 30-31
1,136LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 30-31
1,136LV
Oct. 30-31
1,136LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 29-31
800LV
Oct. 29-31
800LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Oct. 28-31
1,731LV
Oct. 28-31
1,731LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
47%
TrumpEven
Oct. 25-31
942LV
Oct. 25-31
942LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 25-31
985RV
Oct. 25-31
985RV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 25-31
942LV
Oct. 25-31
942LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

West

0%
45%
TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 25-31
985RV
Oct. 25-31
985RV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

West

0%
45%
TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 22-31
1,108LV
Oct. 22-31
1,108LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1
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Candidate is an incumbent

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