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Who’s ahead in Michigan?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 30-31
1,136LV
Oct. 30-31
1,136LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 30-31
1,136LV
Oct. 30-31
1,136LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
49%
 TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 29-31
800LV
Oct. 29-31
800LV
OnMessage
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Oct. 28-31
1,731LV
Oct. 28-31
1,731LV
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
47%
 TrumpEven
Oct. 25-31
942LV
Oct. 25-31
942LV
YouGov
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 25-31
985RV
Oct. 25-31
985RV
YouGov
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 25-31
942LV
Oct. 25-31
942LV
YouGov
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

West

0%
45%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 25-31
985RV
Oct. 25-31
985RV
YouGov
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

West

0%
45%
 TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 27-30
1,214LV
Oct. 27-30
1,214LV
Marist College
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 27-30
1,356RV
Oct. 27-30
1,356RV
Marist College
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 27-30
600LV
Oct. 27-30
600LV
Echelon Insights
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Oct. 27-30
600LV
Oct. 27-30
600LV
Echelon Insights
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

1%

Stein

0%

Oliver

0%

West

0%
47%
 TrumpEven
Oct. 28-29
LV
Oct. 28-29
LV
Mitchell Research & Communications
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 25-29
983LV
Oct. 25-29
983LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 25-29
983LV
Oct. 25-29
983LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
49%
 TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 26-28
844LV
Oct. 26-28
844LV
Quantus Insights
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 24-28
1,003RV
Oct. 24-28
1,003RV
The Washington Post
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 24-28
1,003LV
Oct. 24-28
1,003LV
The Washington Post
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 24-28
600LV
Oct. 24-28
600LV
EPIC-MRA
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

Stein

3%

Kennedy

3%

West

1%
45%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 24-28
1,275RV
Oct. 24-28
1,275RV
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 24-28
988LV
Oct. 24-28
988LV
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
Oct. 24-28
1,275RV
Oct. 24-28
1,275RV
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

3%

West

1%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
45%
 TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 24-28
988LV
Oct. 24-28
988LV
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

3%

West

1%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
46%
 TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 23-28
726LV
Oct. 23-28
726LV
CNN/SSRS
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

3%

Stein

2%

West

1%

Oliver

0%
43%
 TrumpHarris+5
Oct. 26-27
800LV
Oct. 26-27
800LV
InsiderAdvantage
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 25-27
728LV
Oct. 25-27
728LV
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
48%
 TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 25-27
1,000LV
Oct. 25-27
1,000LV
Emerson College
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 24-27
500LV
Oct. 24-27
500LV
Suffolk University
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Stein

1%

Kennedy

1%

West

1%

Oliver

0%

Kishore

0%

Terry

0%
47%
 TrumpEven
Oct. 23-27
400LV
Oct. 23-27
400LV
Susquehanna Polling & Research
 Harris
52%
 Harris
52%

Harris

52%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+5
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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