Filter by poll type or state

Who’s ahead in Michigan?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 8-9
800LV
Oct. 8-9
800LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 5-8
950LV
Oct. 5-8
950LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Even
Oct. 5-7
450LV
Oct. 5-7
450LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+4
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%

Oliver

1%

West

1%

Stein

0%

Terry

0%
50%
TrumpTrump+3
Oct. 1-4
600LV
Oct. 1-4
600LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

5%

Stein

1%

West

1%

Oliver

1%
44%
TrumpHarris+3
Sept. 27-Oct. 2
839LV
Sept. 27-Oct. 2
839LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
46%
TrumpHarris+2
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

No matching polls

More on the polls
Read about how we use polls
Our Polls Policy And FAQs
Download the data
Download