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Who’s ahead in Michigan?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 17-18
650RV
July 17-18
650RV
Public Policy Polling
 Biden
44%
 Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

5%

Stein

3%
45%
 TrumpTrump+1
July 15-17
1,091LV
July 15-17
1,091LV

Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party.

Trafalgar Group
 Biden
43%
 Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

1%

West

1%
45%
 TrumpTrump+2
July 13-17
600RV
July 13-17
600RV
EPIC-MRA
 Biden
36%
 Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

2%

West

2%
43%
 TrumpTrump+7
July 15-16
1,000RV
July 15-16
1,000RV
Emerson College
 Biden
42%
 Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Trump+3
July 13-16
532RV
July 13-16
532RV
Civiqs
 Biden
43%
 Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

5%
46%
 TrumpTrump+3
July 11-13
600RV
July 11-13
600RV
Marketing Resource Group (MRG)
 Biden
36%
 Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Trump+3
July 1-5
694RV
July 1-5
694RV
Morning Consult
 Biden
48%
 Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Biden+5
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

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Campaign poll

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