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Who’s ahead in Minnesota?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Minnesota, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4
2,065LV
Nov. 1-4
2,065LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Nov. 1-4
2,065LV
Nov. 1-4
2,065LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
47%
 TrumpHarris+2
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Research Co.
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+7
Oct. 9-Nov. 1
400LV
Oct. 9-Nov. 1
400LV
ActiVote
 Harris
52%
 Harris
52%

Harris

52%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+5
Oct. 28-30
534LV
Oct. 28-30
534LV
Chism Strategies
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

43%

Stein

1%

Kennedy

1%

Oliver

0%
43%
 TrumpHarris+5
Oct. 24-28
728LV
Oct. 24-28
728LV
SurveyUSA
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Harris+8
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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