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Who’s ahead in Minnesota?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Minnesota, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 13-18
1,000RV
June 13-18
1,000RV
Emerson College
 Biden
41%
 Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

6%

Stein

1%

West

1%
42%
 TrumpTrump+1
June 12-16
626LV
June 12-16
626LV
SurveyUSA
 Biden
47%
 Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Biden+6
June 9-11
600LV
June 9-11
600LV
McLaughlin & Associates
 Biden
45%
 Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+2
June 3-5
800LV
June 3-5
800LV
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
 Biden
45%
 Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

6%
41%
 TrumpBiden+4
May 8-11
625LV
May 8-11
625LV
SurveyUSA
 Biden
44%
 Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Biden+2
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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