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Who’s ahead in Montana?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Montana, 2024

Aug. 6-14
540RV
Aug. 6-14
540RV
Harris
39%
Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

57%

Kennedy

2%
57%
TrumpTrump+18
Aug. 10-12
538RV
Aug. 10-12
538RV
Harris
38%
Harris
38%

Harris

38%

Trump

52%

Kennedy

6%

Oliver

2%

West

0%

Stein

0%
52%
TrumpTrump+14
Aug. 5-6
1,000LV
Aug. 5-6
1,000LV
Harris
39%
Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

54%

Kennedy

5%

West

0%

Stein

0%

Oliver

0%
54%
TrumpTrump+15
Aug. 5-6
1,000LV
Aug. 5-6
1,000LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

58%
58%
Trump  Trump+15
June 29-July 1
570LV
June 29-July 1
570LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

56%

Kennedy

3%

West

1%

Stein

0%
56%
TrumpTrump+20
June 22-26
649RV
June 22-26
649RV
Biden
35%
Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+16
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