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Who’s ahead in Montana?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Montana, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4
752LV
Nov. 1-4
752LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
39%
 Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

59%
59%
Trump  Trump+20
Nov. 1-4
752LV
Nov. 1-4
752LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
37%
 Harris
37%

Harris

37%

Trump

57%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
57%
 TrumpTrump+20
Oct. 23-25
1,000LV
Oct. 23-25
1,000LV
Emerson College
 Harris
40%
 Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

59%
59%
Trump  Trump+19
Sept. 30-Oct. 16
760A
Sept. 30-Oct. 16
760A
Montana State University Billings
 Harris
34%
 Harris
34%

Harris

34%

Trump

52%

Kennedy

3%

Oliver

2%

Stein

1%
52%
 TrumpTrump+18
Oct. 5-8
656LV
Oct. 5-8
656LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
39%
 Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

56%

Stein

0%

Oliver

0%
56%
 TrumpTrump+17
Oct. 5-8
656LV
Oct. 5-8
656LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
40%
 Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

57%
57%
Trump  Trump+17
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Oct. 5-8
656RV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
38%
 Harris
38%

Harris

38%

Trump

56%

Stein

0%

Oliver

0%
56%
 TrumpTrump+18
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Oct. 5-8
656RV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
39%
 Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

57%
57%
Trump  Trump+18
Sept. 16-20
800LV
Sept. 16-20
800LV
Remington Research Group
 Harris
39%
 Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

56%

Stein

2%
56%
 TrumpTrump+17
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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