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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 15
2,045RV
July 15
2,045RV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+1
July 15
2,045RV
July 15
2,045RV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+1
July 13-14
2,426LV
July 13-14
2,426LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+4
July 12-14
11,328RV
July 12-14
11,328RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+2
July 8-13
4,616LV
July 8-13
4,616LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3
July 9-11
4,000RV
July 9-11
4,000RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+2
July 8-11
2,300LV
July 8-11
2,300LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

7%

West

1%

Stein

1%
43%
TrumpTrump+3
July 8-11
2,300LV
July 8-11
2,300LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3
July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Newsom
50%
Newsom
50%

Newsom

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Newsom+2
July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Whitmer
49%
Whitmer
49%

Whitmer

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1
July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

8%

West

3%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
43%
TrumpTrump+1
July 9-10
1,174RV
July 9-10
1,174RV
Biden
50%
Biden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Biden+2
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Newsom
48%
Newsom
48%

Newsom

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Whitmer
48%
Whitmer
48%

Whitmer

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
July 7-10
1,210RV
July 7-10
1,210RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

10%

Stein

3%

West

1%
44%
TrumpTrump+3
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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