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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 27-29
1,029RV
June 27-29
1,029RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

11%
44%
TrumpTrump+4
June 28
2,315LV
June 28
2,315LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Trump+2
June 28
2,086RV
June 28
2,086RV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Biden+1
June 28
1,011LV
June 28
1,011LV
Booker
44%
Booker
44%

Booker

44%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+2
June 28
1,011LV
June 28
1,011LV
Klobuchar
43%
Klobuchar
43%

Klobuchar

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3
June 28
1,011LV
June 28
1,011LV
Shapiro
43%
Shapiro
43%

Shapiro

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3
June 28
1,011LV
June 28
1,011LV
Buttigieg
44%
Buttigieg
44%

Buttigieg

44%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+3
June 28
1,011LV
June 28
1,011LV
Pritzker
43%
Pritzker
43%

Pritzker

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3
June 28
1,011LV
June 28
1,011LV
Newsom
44%
Newsom
44%

Newsom

44%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+3
June 28
1,011LV
June 28
1,011LV
Whitmer
44%
Whitmer
44%

Whitmer

44%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+2
June 28
1,011LV
June 28
1,011LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+3
June 28
1,011LV
June 28
1,011LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+3
June 27-28
841LV
June 27-28
841LV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Trump+7
June 23-25
1,406RV
June 23-25
1,406RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

1%

West

0%
42%
TrumpEven
June 20-25
1,226LV
June 20-25
1,226LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%

West

0%
40%
TrumpTrump+3
June 20-25
1,226RV
June 20-25
1,226RV
Biden
32%
Biden
32%

Biden

32%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

2%

Oliver

2%

West

0%
39%
TrumpTrump+7
June 20-25
1,226LV
June 20-25
1,226LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+4
June 20-25
1,226RV
June 20-25
1,226RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+6
June 22-24
878LV
June 22-24
878LV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

2%

West

2%
38%
TrumpEven
June 22-24
878LV
June 22-24
878LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Biden+2
June 20-24
1,405RV
June 20-24
1,405RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

11%

West

2%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
43%
TrumpTrump+6
June 20-24
1,405RV
June 20-24
1,405RV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+4
June 18-24
1,000LV
June 18-24
1,000LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

10%

West

2%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
39%
TrumpTrump+2
June 18-24
1,000LV
June 18-24
1,000LV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+5
June 18-24
1,000LV
June 18-24
1,000LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+2
June 21-23
10,159RV
June 21-23
10,159RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Even
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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