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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 16-18
2,241LV
July 16-18
2,241LV
YouGov
 Biden
47%
 Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+5
July 17
800LV
July 17
800LV
SoCal Research
 Biden
45%
 Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+6
July 15-17
2,725LV
July 15-17
2,725LV
RMG Research
 Biden
46%
 Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+5
July 15-17
9,414RV
July 15-17
9,414RV
Morning Consult
 Biden
42%
 Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+4
July 15-17
2,402LV
July 15-17
2,402LV
3W Insights
 Biden
43%
 Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+4
July 15-16
992RV
July 15-16
992RV
Ipsos
 Biden
39%
 Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

11%
40%
 TrumpTrump+1
July 15-16
992RV
July 15-16
992RV
Ipsos
 Biden
41%
 Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Trump+2
July 15-16
2,000RV
July 15-16
2,000RV
Emerson College
 Biden
42%
 Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+5
July 13-16
1,404RV
July 13-16
1,404RV
YouGov
 Biden
41%
 Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

4%

West

1%

Stein

1%
43%
 TrumpTrump+2
July 15
2,621LV
July 15
2,621LV
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
 Biden
42%
 Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

6%
43%
 TrumpTrump+1
July 15
2,045RV
July 15
2,045RV
Morning Consult
 Biden
45%
 Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+1
July 13-15
1,918RV
July 13-15
1,918RV
HarrisX
 Biden
39%
 Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

13%

West

2%

Stein

2%
43%
 TrumpTrump+4
July 12-15
1,098LV
July 12-15
1,098LV
SurveyUSA
 Biden
43%
 Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+1
July 7-15
1,000LV
July 7-15
1,000LV
ActiVote
 Biden
41%
 Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

15%
43%
 TrumpTrump+2
July 13-14
2,426LV
July 13-14
2,426LV
3W Insights
 Biden
43%
 Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+4
July 12-14
11,328RV
July 12-14
11,328RV
Morning Consult
 Biden
42%
 Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+2
July 12-14
1,499LV
July 12-14
1,499LV
Big Village
 Biden
41%
 Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

1%

West

1%
41%
 TrumpEven
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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