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Who’s ahead in Nevada?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Nevada, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4
707LV
Nov. 3-4
707LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+3
Nov. 3-4
707LV
Nov. 3-4
707LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+3
Nov. 1-3
792RV
Nov. 1-3
792RV
Patriot Polling
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Even
Nov. 1-2
782LV
Nov. 1-2
782LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+6
Nov. 1-2
782LV
Nov. 1-2
782LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+6
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
840LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
840LV
Emerson College
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
Oct. 24-Nov. 2
1,010LV
Oct. 24-Nov. 2
1,010LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%

Oliver

2%
46%
 TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 24-Nov. 2
1,010LV
Oct. 24-Nov. 2
1,010LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 24-Nov. 2
1,010RV
Oct. 24-Nov. 2
1,010RV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

44%

Oliver

3%
44%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 24-Nov. 2
1,010RV
Oct. 24-Nov. 2
1,010RV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,324LV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,324LV
Focaldata
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
47%
 TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,197RV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,197RV
Focaldata
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

Oliver

2%

Stein

0%
45%
 TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,324A
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,324A
Focaldata
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

44%

Oliver

2%

Stein

0%
44%
 TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 30-31
845LV
Oct. 30-31
845LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+4
Oct. 30-31
845LV
Oct. 30-31
845LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+4
Oct. 29-31
700LV
Oct. 29-31
700LV
Emerson College
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Oct. 28-31
400LV
Oct. 28-31
400LV
Susquehanna Polling & Research
 Harris
44%
 Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+6
Oct. 28-31
690LV
Oct. 28-31
690LV
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
48%
 TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 28-31
593LV
Oct. 28-31
593LV
Noble Predictive Insights
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%

Oliver

0%

Skousen

0%
48%
 TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 25-31
773LV
Oct. 25-31
773LV
YouGov
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 25-31
790RV
Oct. 25-31
790RV
YouGov
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 25-31
773LV
Oct. 25-31
773LV
YouGov
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%

Stein

0%

West

0%
47%
 TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 25-31
790RV
Oct. 25-31
790RV
YouGov
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%

Stein

0%

West

0%
47%
 TrumpHarris+1
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

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Campaign poll

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