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Who’s ahead in Nevada?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Nevada, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 15-16
800LV
July 15-16
800LV
InsiderAdvantage
 Biden
42%
 Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+7
July 15-16
1,000RV
July 15-16
1,000RV
Emerson College
 Biden
41%
 Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+5
July 1-4
452RV
July 1-4
452RV
Morning Consult
 Biden
45%
 Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+3
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
Emerson College
 Biden
41%
 Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+6
June 29-July 1
601LV
June 29-July 1
601LV
Remington Research Group
 Biden
40%
 Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

5%

Stein

1%

West

1%
47%
 TrumpTrump+7
June 28-July 1
817LV
June 28-July 1
817LV
National Public Affairs
 Biden
39%
 Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+10
June 11-20
650LV
June 11-20
650LV
P2 Insights
 Biden
37%
 Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

8%
40%
 TrumpTrump+3
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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