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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, New Hampshire, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-3
587LV
Nov. 1-3
587LV
The Dartmouth Poll
 Harris
62%
 Harris
62%

Harris

62%

Trump

34%
34%
Trump  Harris+28
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
2,814LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
2,814LV
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

46%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
46%
 TrumpHarris+5
Oct. 28-29
2,791LV
Oct. 28-29
2,791LV
Saint Anselm College Survey Center
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

46%

Oliver

1%

West

0%

Stein

0%
46%
 TrumpHarris+5
Oct. 24-26
622RV
Oct. 24-26
622RV
Praecones Analytica
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Even
Oct. 1-25
375LV
Oct. 1-25
375LV
CCES/YouGov
 Harris
52%
 Harris
52%

Harris

52%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+7
Oct. 1-25
380A
Oct. 1-25
380A
CCES/YouGov
 Harris
52%
 Harris
52%

Harris

52%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+7
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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